Valuation
- Valuation metrics are exceptionally high, with a TTM P/E of 93.81 and P/B of 7.08, indicating the market prices in significant future earnings growth. The current price of $126.67 is near the upper end of the recent trading range and aligns with the upper bound of a reasonable base case valuation.
- The trailing twelve-month (TTM) P/E ratio is 93.81, which is exceptionally high by traditional value standards.
- The P/B ratio of 7.08 is high, suggesting the market values the company's assets far above their accounting book value.
- The P/S ratio of 3.95 is within a reasonable range for a growing platform company in the streaming sector.
- The most recent closing price is $126.67, trading near the upper end of the recent 60-day range of approximately $84.42 to $129.85.
- Base Case (Hold Scenario): Assuming current growth and margin trajectory, a reasonable P/E compression towards 70-80x could support a price range of $115 - $135.
- Bull Case (Buy Scenario): If Roku demonstrates accelerating net margin expansion and sustains >15% revenue growth, target range could be $135 - $150.
- Bear Case (Sell Scenario): A reversion to quarterly losses or significant slowdown in revenue growth could drive the price towards $90 - $110.