Circle Internet Group, Inc.(CRCL) - Stock detail

Circle Internet Group, Inc.

US
CRCL
Circle Internet Group(Listing date: 06/05/2025)

Circle Internet Group, Inc. was founded in 2013 around Bitcoin and blockchain. Circle's mission is to increase global economic prosperity through the frictionless exchange of value. They launched USDC in 2018 as the core of the Circle Stablecoin Network. Circle's innovative products reach tens of millions of end users and power thousands of businesses, with USDC used in approximately $20.0 trillion in on-chain transactions as of December 31, 2024.

AI Technical AnalystSell
Rating2/10
Generated at:2026-06-03 17:40:35
Analysis based on real data for Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL). Data source: US Stock Market (NASDAQ/NYSE). Analysis period: 2026-03-10 to 2026-06-03 (86 calendar days, 60 trading days). Latest trading date in dataset: 2026-06-03. Latest close price: $90.13. Chip distribution analysis is a statistical estimate based on historical OHLC and turnover behavior, not official exchange data.
Insight

Technical analysis shows an overwhelmingly bearish picture for CRCL with a confirmed downtrend, accelerating bearish momentum, and key supports broken on high volume.

Resistance
140.00
Support
84.27
Support and resistance are estimated from the latest 60 sessions.
Strategy
  • Short-term:Avoid buying; the stock is in a strong downtrend with oversold conditions that may lead to a weak bounce, but attempting to catch it is high-risk. Existing holders should consider selling into any bounce towards the $100-$105 resistance zone.
  • Mid-term:Remain on the sidelines until a clear base formation and trend reversal are established. The path of least resistance is downward. Monitor for a close above the key moving average cluster ($106-$113) as a sign of stabilization.
  • Long-term:Prudent action is to avoid new positions until a sustained trend reversal is confirmed. The technical breakdown suggests significant negative sentiment; long-term investors should wait for a solid base and reversal signals before considering entry.

Moving averages

MA 5
103.44
MA 20
112.73
MA 60
107.39
Price
90.13
AI Analysis
  • Moving averages present a clear bearish alignment, indicating strong selling pressure and a downtrend.
  • Simple MAs: MA_20 ($112.73) > MA_60 ($107.39) > MA_10 ($106.36) > MA_5 ($103.44). The stock price ($90.13) is trading significantly below all these key moving averages.
  • This is a classic bearish configuration, confirming the stock is in a downtrend across short, medium, and long-term timeframes.
  • Exponential MAs: EMA_5 ($100.51) > EMA_10 ($104.87) > EMA_20 ($107.54). The price is also well below all EMAs.
  • The wide gap between the price and the EMAs, especially the 20-day EMA, suggests the downtrend is strong and potentially oversold in the short term, but the primary direction remains negative.

Volume

Volume
15.99M
20D Avg
17.21M
Institution
-
Participation
-
AI Analysis
  • Volume has been a key tell.
  • Massive selling volume on 2026-03-24 (56.78M shares) and 2026-05-11 (44.91M shares) during sharp declines indicates institutional or heavy selling (distribution).
  • The recent drop to $90.13 on 2026-06-03 occurred on elevated volume (15.99M shares), which is higher than the preceding days.
  • This confirms the breakdown was accompanied by significant selling interest.
  • High volume on down days is a bearish characteristic.

MACD

MACD
-1.78
Signal
0.91
Hist
-2.69
Trend
-
AI Analysis
  • The MACD line is at -1.7757, the signal line is at 0.9103, and the histogram (MACDH) is deeply negative at -2.6860.
  • A negative MACD histogram that is expanding indicates that bearish momentum is accelerating.
  • This is a strong sell signal.

Bollinger bands

Upper
132.20
Middle
112.73
Lower
93.26
Width
34.54%
AI Analysis
  • The current price ($90.13) is trading below the lower band ($93.26).
  • Trading below the lower Bollinger Band is a rare event that typically indicates an oversold condition and can sometimes precede a mean-reversion bounce back towards the middle band ($112.73).
  • However, it can also signify a period of high volatility and continued selling pressure.

RSI

RSI(14)
37.71
RSI(6)
24.04
Overbought
70+
Oversold
30-
AI Analysis
  • The 14-day RSI is at 37.71, which is in neutral territory but leaning towards oversold.
  • The more sensitive 6-day RSI is at 24.04, which is firmly in the oversold zone (<30).
  • This suggests that selling pressure has been intense recently and a technical rebound could be possible, but it does not invalidate the primary downtrend.

KDJ

K
20.33
D
27.70
J
5.60
Trend
-
AI Analysis
  • The K value (20.33) and D value (27.70) are both below 30, indicating oversold conditions.
  • The J value is extremely low at 5.60, which often signals an imminent but potentially weak bounce.

Chip distribution

How chip distribution helps you?
Chip distribution summary
  • The estimated chip distribution shows virtually the entire holder base is at a loss, with a wide cost concentration range indicating dispersed holders and a lack of natural buying support.
  • The profit ratio is only 1.29% as of 2026-06-03, meaning virtually the entire estimated holder base is near breakeven or at a loss given the current price of $90.13.
  • The average cost is estimated at $110.42, well above the current price. This creates a large pool of 'underwater' holders who may become sellers on any price rebound, creating overhead supply.
  • The 90% cost concentration range is wide ($93.25 to $127.58), indicating a dispersed holder base without a single strong cost support level.
  • The 70% concentration range ($99.58 to $121.26) shows that a majority of estimated chips are now losing money, which can lead to panic selling or prolonged consolidation.
  • The current price is below the lower bound of the 90% range ($93.25), suggesting the stock is trading in a region where very few holders (estimated) have a low cost basis.
  • This is typically a sign of capitulation or a deeply oversold state, but also indicates a lack of natural buying support from existing holders.
No chart data

Data is estimated based on turnover rate, high, low, open, and close prices. Profit ratios may vary significantly across different brokerage tools.