United Parcel Service, Inc.(UPS) - Stock detail

United Parcel Service, Inc.

US
UPS
United Parcel Service, Inc.(Listing date: 11/10/1999)

Founded in 1907, United Parcel Service is a private messenger and delivery service company based in Seattle, Washington. Today, UPS is the world's largest package delivery company, a leader in the U.S. less-than-truckload industry, and a premier provider of global supply chain management solutions. Each business day, the company delivers packages for 1.5 million shipping customers to 7.9 million consignees in more than 220 countries and territories. As a global logistics leader, the company creates value for its customers by reducing costs, improving service, and providing highly customizable supply chain control and visibility solutions. Customers are attracted to the company's extensive set of services, which are delivered as promised through its integrated global network of ground, air, and ocean transportation.

AI Rating

Rating methodology
Latest close (chg%)107.11+0.63%
Buy price
99.00
Target price98.50
Sell price103.40
P/E TTM14.46
P/E16.14
Confidence70%
Risk score65/100
AI Summary
Tactical sell recommended ahead of Q1 2026 earnings due to projected double-digit earnings decline combined with extreme technical overextension (RSI 90.20, price at upper Bollinger Band). The risk/reward is unfavorable with limited upside to $110 vs. significant downside risk to $100 support. Selling locks in profits from recent rally and provides capital to re-enter at better valuation.

Alpha Score

0-10
  • Trend（Score 4/10）

    UPS shows short-term bullish momentum but is overextended with overbought signals, suggesting a high probability of a near-term pullback or consolidation.

  • Valuation（Score 4/10）

    The stock appears to be trading at or slightly above its fair intrinsic value based on valuation metrics. The P/E ratio is reasonable for a mature company showing negative growth, but the P/B ratio is elevated. The current price sits within the upper half of a calculated target range and above a simple P/E-derived base value, indicating it is not significantly undervalued.

  • Financial strength（Score 3/10）
    The company's financial health shows both strengths and concerns. Liquidity is reasonable, but the high debt-to-asset ratio is a significant point of concern indicating a highly leveraged capital structure. The company generates a reasonable profit from its asset base.
  • Profitability（Score 5/10）
    Profitability metrics reveal a company with high operational efficiency but facing recent headwinds. The company maintains exceptionally high gross margins and an outstanding ROE, but key financial metrics show consistent year-over-year declines.
  • Sentiment（Score 4/10）
    UPS faces near-term earnings pressure but has significant long-term strategic initiatives, warranting a cautious hold until post-earnings clarity.
Latest price
$107.11+0.63%
Market cap91.01B
P/E TTM14.46
P/E16.14
Volume3.64M
Turnover389M