Microsoft Corporation(MSFT) - Stock detail

Microsoft Corporation

US
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation(Listing date: 03/13/1986)

Microsoft Corporation was founded on April 4, 1975. The company develops and supports software, services, devices, and solutions to deliver new value to customers and help people and businesses realize their full potential. It offers a range of services, including cloud-based solutions that provide customers with software, services, platforms, and content, as well as solution support and consulting services. The company also delivers relevant online advertising to a global audience. Its products include operating systems; cross-device productivity applications; server applications; business solution applications; desktop and server management tools; software development tools; and video games. The company also designs, manufactures, and sells devices, including personal computers, tablets, gaming and entertainment consoles, other intelligent devices, and related accessories.

AI Technical AnalystHold
Rating4/10
Generated at:2026-04-17 17:42:09
Analysis based on data from the US Stock Market (NASDAQ) for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT). Data range: 2026-01-22 to 2026-04-17 (86 calendar days, 60 trading days). Analysis date: 2026-04-18 (based on data up to 2026-04-17 close). Chip distribution data is an estimate based on historical OHLC and turnover behavior.
Insight

Microsoft (MSFT) exhibits a strong medium-term bullish trend but is severely overbought in the short term, warranting a Hold recommendation with caution for new buyers.

Resistance
483.74
Support
356.28
Support and resistance are estimated from the latest 60 sessions.
Strategy
  • Short-term:Exercise extreme patience; avoid chasing the stock. High probability of a short-term pullback or consolidation. Wait for a pullback towards support zones ($401-$405 or ideally $375-$385) for better risk/reward. Any new entry should use a strict stop-loss.
  • Mid-term:Trend is bullish. For existing holders, maintain positions with a trailing stop-loss (e.g., below 10-day EMA near $396.50 or key support at $393) to protect profits. Expect a non-linear path upward with volatility and consolidation. Next major resistance is near $483.
  • Long-term:The primary trend has turned positive based on the recovery structure and breakout. Long-term outlook remains favorable provided the stock holds above major support levels ($356). Monitor for sustained trend confirmation after the expected short-term digestion.

Moving averages

MA 5
406.35
MA 20
379.93
MA 60
401.26
Price
422.79
AI Analysis
  • Moving average structure shows a bullish alignment.
  • 5-day MA ($406.35) is above the 60-day MA ($401.26), which is above the 10-day ($389.52) and 20-day ($379.93) averages.
  • This configuration is a classic sign of a strengthening uptrend.
  • The current close price of $422.79 is trading well above all key moving averages, confirming bullish price action.
  • Exponential moving averages reinforce the bullish structure: EMA_5 ($408.36) > EMA_10 ($396.54) > EMA_20 ($389.93).
  • Price above all three EMAs indicates strong short-to-medium-term momentum.

Volume

Volume
47.78M
20D Avg
35.10M
Institution
-
Participation
-
AI Analysis
  • Volume has been a critical confirming factor.
  • The sell-off in late January/February had extremely high volume (e.g., 127.4M shares on 2026-01-29), indicating capitulation.
  • The subsequent rally, particularly surges on 2026-04-15 (44.6M) and 2026-04-17 (47.8M), saw above-average volume.
  • This volume-price relationship confirms institutional participation in the upward move.
  • High volume during the rally supports the validity of the new uptrend.

MACD

MACD
3.83
Signal
-3.57
Hist
7.41
Trend
-
AI Analysis
  • MACD reading is 3.8324, with a signal line (MACDS) at -3.5732.
  • MACD histogram (MACDH) is positive at 7.4056.
  • A positive and expanding histogram indicates that bullish momentum is accelerating.
  • The MACD line crossing above its signal line is a strong buy signal.

Bollinger bands

Upper
416.83
Middle
379.93
Lower
343.03
Width
19.43%
AI Analysis
  • Closing price of $422.79 is significantly above the upper Bollinger Band ($416.83), with the middle band at $379.93.
  • Trading above the upper band is a strong signal of continued upward momentum.
  • It also indicates the price is extended relative to its recent volatility.
  • A reversion towards the middle band is a common occurrence.

RSI

RSI(14)
71.65
RSI(6)
90.41
Overbought
70+
Oversold
30-
AI Analysis
  • RSI (14-period) is at 71.65.
  • RSI_6 is at an extremely high 90.41.
  • An RSI above 70 typically indicates an overbought condition.
  • The RSI_6 reading above 90 suggests the stock has experienced a very sharp, near-vertical rally in the most recent period.
  • This is a significant warning sign for a potential short-term pullback or consolidation.

KDJ

K
87.79
D
80.27
J
102.84
Trend
-
AI Analysis
  • KDJ readings are K: 87.79, D: 80.27, J: 102.84.
  • Values for K and D above 80 are considered overbought.
  • The J-value above 100 indicates extreme overbought conditions.
  • This suggests the upward move may be overextended in the very short term.

Chip distribution

How chip distribution helps you?
Chip distribution summary
  • An estimated 93.41% of holders are profitable, but the current price is at the upper end of the 90% cost range, suggesting potential profit-taking pressure.
  • Chip distribution data is a statistical estimate based on historical OHLC and turnover behavior, not official exchange holding data.
  • It uses a volume-based proxy to model turnover and estimate cost concentrations.
  • As of 2026-04-17, an estimated 93.41% of holders are in a profit position, with an average cost basis of $393.55.
  • The 70% cost concentration range is tight ($373.58 to $409.53, concentration 4.59%), indicating a high degree of consensus on the stock's value.
  • The 90% cost range is $369.59 to $429.49.
  • The current price ($422.79) is at the upper end of the 90% cost range.
  • This suggests that while most holders are profitable, the stock is approaching a level where significant profit-taking pressure could emerge from those who bought near the estimated upper cost boundary.
No chart data

Data is estimated based on turnover rate, high, low, open, and close prices. Profit ratios may vary significantly across different brokerage tools.