Moderna, Inc.(MRNA) - Stock detail

Moderna, Inc.

US
MRNA
Moderna, Inc.(Listing date: 12/07/2018)

Moderna, Inc. was incorporated under Delaware law on July 22, 2016. The company is a leader in the field of messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA) medicine. Through more than a decade of work at the intersection of science, technology, and health, the company has developed drugs with unprecedented speed and efficiency, including one of the earliest and most effective COVID-19 vaccines. The company's mRNA platform has enabled the development of therapies and vaccines for infectious diseases, immuno-oncology, rare diseases, and autoimmune diseases. With a unique culture and a global team driven by Moderna's values and mindset, the company strives to transform the future of human health in a responsible manner and to deliver the greatest possible impact to people through mRNA medicines.

AI Value AnalystHold
Overall Rating4.3/10
Generated at:2026-04-17 17:42:38
Analysis based on real financial data. Data sources include company financial reports. The analysis uses data from 5 financial report periods: 2025-12-31, 2025-09-30, 2025-06-30, 2025-03-31, and 2024-12-31. The last recorded stock price is as of 2026-04-17 close. Data is considered complete for the periods analyzed.

Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) is a biotechnology company in a critical transition phase from pandemic-driven revenue to a diversified commercial portfolio. The fundamental analysis reveals a company with a strong balance sheet and low debt but facing severe profitability challenges with steep revenue declines and significant net losses. Valuation is speculative and based entirely on future pipeline potential rather than current financial performance.

Valuation
3/10
Profitability
2/10
Financial health
8/10
  • Existing shareholders with a tolerance for risk should hold.
  • New investors should await more concrete evidence of commercial execution (e.g., successful RSV vaccine launch) and a deceleration in cash burn before establishing a position.
  • Monitor the stock within the near-term price range of $45.00 - $62.00, with key catalysts around pipeline milestones.
  • A move towards $65-$75 is possible with successful RSV launch, while pipeline setbacks could see a re-test of support near $40.

Valuation

P/E TTM
-7.55
P/E LYR
-5.14
P/B MRQ
2.46
P/S TTM
--
AI Analysis
  • Valuation metrics reflect a market pricing the stock on future pipeline potential rather than current earnings, given the lack of profitability. The P/E ratio is negative and meaningless, the P/B ratio of 2.51 is not cheap, and the high P/S-TTM ratio of 10.96 indicates a premium valuation based entirely on anticipated future sales growth. The current price of $53.72 is towards the upper end of the recent trading range.
  • Both the forward-looking dynamic PE (-5.14) and the trailing-twelve-month PE (-7.68) are negative due to net losses, rendering the traditional P/E ratio meaningless for valuation.
  • The P/B ratio is 2.51, suggesting the market values the company at approximately 2.5 times its book value. For a biotech with a robust pipeline, this multiple can be justified by growth expectations, but it is not cheap.
  • The P/S-TTM ratio is 10.96. This is a very high multiple, indicating the market is assigning significant value to each dollar of current sales based on anticipated future sales growth from new product launches.
  • The last recorded price is $53.72. Over the last 60 trading days, the stock has traded in a wide range between a low of $39.50 and a high of $59.55, with the current price towards the upper end of this recent range.
  • Given the company's transitional, pre-profitability stage, valuation is highly speculative and driven by clinical trial outcomes and regulatory milestones.
  • A reasonable near-term price range, based on recent volatility and pending catalysts, is $45.00 - $62.00.
  • A 12-month fundamental-based target price is challenging but framed around key events. Successful launch of its RSV vaccine could support a move toward the $65-$75 range. Pipeline setbacks could see the stock re-test support levels near $40.
Valuation trend

Profitability

ROE TTM
-28.87%
Net margin
-145.16%
Gross margin
55.35%
Total revenue
1.94B
AI Analysis
  • Profitability metrics reveal a company in a significant post-pandemic downturn, facing steep revenue declines and mounting losses. Revenue contracted sharply, with FY2025 revenue down -39.93% year-over-year. The net margin was deeply negative at -145.16%, and the company reported a net loss of -$2.82B for FY2025. Return on Equity and Return on Assets are deeply negative, indicating the company is currently destroying shareholder value.
  • Revenue has contracted sharply year-over-year. The latest annual revenue (2025) was $1.94B, representing a -39.93% decline from 2024.
  • Quarterly data shows the declining trend persisted through 2025, with Q3 revenue down -44.23% YoY.
  • The gross margin for FY2025 was 55.35%, indicating the core product cost-structure remains relatively healthy.
  • The net margin for FY2025 was -145.16%, meaning expenses far exceeded gross profit.
  • The company reported a net loss of -$2.82B for FY2025. This represents a 20.75% improvement (smaller loss) from the -$3.56B loss in FY2024, but the magnitude remains severe.
  • Basic and diluted EPS for FY2025 was -$7.26.
  • Return on Equity (ROE) is -28.87% and Return on Assets (ROA) is -21.31%. This indicates the company is currently destroying shareholder value and failing to generate profits from its asset base.
Profitability
2024Q42025Q12025Q22025Q32025Q4
ROE TTM---9.26%-17.69%-19.73%-28.87%
Earnings
2024Q42025Q12025Q22025Q32025Q4
Total revenue3.24B108.00M250.00M1.27B1.94B

Financial health

Debt/Asset
29.89%
Current ratio
3.29
Quick ratio
3.22
Cash ratio
3.22
AI Analysis
  • The balance sheet health of Moderna, Inc. appears strong based on liquidity and solvency metrics. The company exhibits robust short-term financial health with high current and quick ratios, and a conservative capital structure with a low debt-to-asset ratio of 29.89%. The high liquidity ratios imply significant cash reserves, though monitoring the cash burn rate is essential given the substantial net losses.
  • The company exhibits robust short-term financial health with a current ratio of 3.29 and a quick ratio of 3.22. These figures indicate ample liquid assets to cover current liabilities.
  • The debt-to-asset ratio is 29.89%, suggesting a conservative capital structure with low financial leverage. The company is not overburdened by debt.
  • While specific cash balance data is not provided, the high liquidity ratios imply a significant cash reserve.
  • Given the substantial net losses, monitoring the cash burn rate is essential for assessing long-term runway.
Leverage
2024Q42025Q12025Q22025Q32025Q4
Debt/Asset22.92%20.77%21.74%23.11%29.89%
Liquidity
2024Q42025Q12025Q22025Q32025Q4
Current ratio3.674.223.933.923.29