Price Targets
4. Target Price Analysis:
- Fundamental Baseline: Using FY2025 EPS of $23.49 and a justified P/E range of 28-32x for its growth profile gives a base range of $658 - $751.
- News/Sentiment Adjustment: The Broadcom AI partnership is a material long-term positive, supporting the upper end of that range. The layoff news caps near-term euphoria but may ultimately be viewed as margin-accretive. Net effect: supports the base case, not a downgrade.
- Technical & Risk-Adjusted Scenarios:
- Conservative (1 month): $670 - $695. Expect consolidation after the overbought spike. Resistance at the recent high/~$690 area.
- Baseline (3 months): $720 - $760. Assuming the bullish trend resumes after digestion. Targets the January high zone ($738) and extends towards the optimistic fundamental valuation.
- Optimistic (6 months): $780 - $850. Requires successful AI product announcements (Muse Spark monetization), smooth layoff execution, and a stable market. Aligns with analyst consensus (~$848).
- Specific Price Targets:
- 1-Month Target: $685
- 3-Month Target: $740
- 6-Month Target: $810