Coinbase Global, Inc. was founded in Delaware in May 2012 by Brian Armstrong and Fred Ehrsam, with its headquarters located in San Francisco, California, USA. It has 1,249 full-time employees and operates as a digital currency exchange. They facilitate the trading of Bitcoin, Bitcoin Cash, Ethereum, Ethereum Classic, Litecoin, Tezos, and many other cryptocurrencies. It enables trading and storage using fiat currencies in approximately 32 countries and Bitcoin in 190 countries worldwide. By trading volume, Coinbase is currently the largest cryptocurrency exchange in the United States. Nearly all of Coinbase's revenue comes from the trading of BTC and ETH.
AI Value AnalystHold
Overall Rating4/10
Generated at:2026-06-11 17:41:15
Analysis based on 5 financial reports: Q1 2026 (2026-03-31), Q4 2025 (2025-12-31), Q3 2025 (2025-09-30), Q2 2025 (2025-06-30), and Q1 2025 (2025-03-31). Current price data as of 2026-06-11 close. Data appears complete for the specified periods used in the analysis.
Overview
Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) is a leading financial technology company in the crypto asset space with a dominant market position but extreme earnings cyclicality tied to cryptocurrency market cycles. The company's financial health shows mixed signals with sufficient liquidity but moderate leverage, while profitability has been highly volatile, swinging from strong full-year 2025 results to significant losses in Q1 2026. Valuation metrics appear elevated relative to recent earnings, though the current price has corrected from recent highs and may be pricing in negative news.
Valuation
4/10
Profitability
3/10
Financial health
5/10
Operation Advice
Maintain a Hold position.
The current price of $160.43 sits near the lower end of the recent trading range ($147.88-$222.35) and bearish scenario valuation.
Investors should monitor subsequent quarterly reports for signs of revenue stabilization and a return to profitability before considering a more aggressive position.
New investment at this level carries high risk due to the company's volatile operating model.
A reasonable target range in a recovery scenario is $180-$210.
Valuation
P/E TTM
54.01
P/E LYR
20.84
P/B MRQ
3.21
P/S TTM
--
AI Analysis
Valuation analysis indicates the stock is expensive relative to recent earnings with high TTM P/E and P/S ratios, but the current price has corrected and may reflect negative news. The forward P/E suggests expectations for future growth, while the P/B ratio reflects a premium for intangible assets.
The forward P/E (dynamic) is 20.84, based on future earnings expectations.
The trailing twelve-month (TTM) P/E is 54.01, suggesting the stock is expensive relative to its recent past earnings.
The P/B ratio is 3.21, indicating the market values the company's equity at more than three times its book value, reflecting intangible assets like platform, brand, and market position.
The TTM P/S ratio is 6.44, a high multiple typical for growth companies but concerning given recent quarterly revenue decline.
The stock has traded between $147.88 and $222.35 over the last 60 days, with a recent close near the lower end.
In a Bearish Scenario with prolonged downturn, P/S multiple contraction towards 4.5-5.0 suggests a lower range of $145-$160.
In a Base/Recovery Scenario assuming return to 2025 profitability, a forward P/E normalization around 25-30 suggests a target range of $180-$210.
The current price of $160.43 sits near the lower end of the recent trading range and the bearish scenario valuation, potentially reflecting significant negative news.
Valuation trend
Profitability
ROE TTM
6.63%
Net margin
-27.89%
Gross margin
100.00%
Total revenue
1.41B
AI Analysis
Profitability has been highly volatile, reflecting extreme cyclicality. The company was unprofitable in Q1 2026 with negative margins, but showed strong profitability for full-year 2025. The TTM metrics blend these periods into modest positive returns.
Recent Quarter (Q1 2026): The company was unprofitable, with a net margin of -27.89%, ROE of -2.79%, and ROA of -1.35%.
Full-Year 2025 showed strong profitability with a net margin of 17.55%, ROE of 10.05%, and ROA of 4.83%.
Profitability shows a pattern of strength during robust crypto market activity (e.g., Q2, Q3 2025) and sharp declines or losses during downturns (e.g., Q1 2025, Q1 2026).
The TTM ROE of 6.63% and ROA of 3.18% blend these periods, resulting in modest but positive returns on capital.
The sharp downturn in Q1 2026 highlights the extreme cyclicality and sensitivity of Coinbase's earnings to crypto market conditions.
Profitability
2025Q12025Q22025Q32025Q42026Q1
ROE TTM--13.36%14.65%10.05%6.63%
Earnings
2025Q12025Q22025Q32025Q42026Q1
Total revenue2.03B3.53B5.40B7.18B1.41B
Financial health
Debt/Asset
53.27%
Current ratio
2.14
Quick ratio
--
Cash ratio
2.14
AI Analysis
Financial condition assessment shows mixed signals with sufficient short-term liquidity but moderate leverage. Q1 2026 results were notably weak with significant revenue decline and a net loss, highlighting operational sensitivity to market cycles.
Liquidity: The current ratio of 2.14 indicates sufficient short-term liquidity to cover obligations, a positive sign for operational stability.
Solvency: The debt-to-asset ratio of 53.27% suggests a moderate level of financial leverage, not alarmingly high for a financial services company but warrants monitoring.
Recent Performance: Q1 2026 results were notably weak with revenue declining 30.54% year-over-year to $1.41B.
The company reported a net loss of $394.12M in Q1 2026, compared to a profit in Q1 2025.
The sharp downturn in Q1 2026 highlights the extreme cyclicality and sensitivity of Coinbase's earnings to crypto market conditions.